VTsIOM publishes pre-election poll results on party support ahead of State Duma elections. Analysing the numbers
Press Release, 30.03.2026

Photo: 3% is Yabloko electoral rating in March 2026 (based on VTsIOM data)
3.9% of those intending to vote and knowing which party they will vote for, as of March 2026 (based on VTsIOM data)
15% say they can potentially vote for Yabloko. as of February 2026 (based on VTsIOM data)
The Russian Public Opinion Research Centre (VTsIOM) has published the results of a survey of Russian citizens on the forthcoming 2026 State Duma elections. Yabloko’s Analytical Centre notes that, according to the poll, the party is in a strong starting position ahead of the federal election campaign.
The data of the poll indicated that 62% of respondents said they planned to vote, a figure that consistently runs higher in polls than actual turnout.
Ratings of parliamentary parties are as follows: United Russia — 31%, LDPR — 10%, New People — 10%, CPRF — 9%, and A Just Russia — 5%.
Yabloko’s electoral rating stands at 3%. This is the average figure from weekly polls conducted in March 2026 in response to the question: “Which party would you vote for if the State Duma elections were held next Sunday?” VTsIOM recorded the same level of support for Yabloko in the same poll ealier in March 2025.
When calculated as a share of those who said they intended to vote and had already made up their minds, Yabloko’s declared support reaches 3.9%.
However, in a separate poll conducted in February of this year — that is, before the blockings of the Telegram messenger that intensified protest sentiment — 15% of voters said they could potentially vote for Yabloko. These are the party’s potential voters, responding to the question: “Would you, in principle, consider voting for the following parties?” Detailed data are available for this question.
The largest concentrations of potential Yabloko voters are in the Central (5.3%), Volga (2.7%), Siberian (1.5%), Southern (1.4%), and North-Western (1.4%) federal districts. The smallest concentrations are in the North Caucasus and Far Eastern federal districts (0.8% each). However, the overall population size of each district affects these figures.
Within each district itself, 18.7% of voters in the Central Federal District said they were prepared to vote for Yabloko, along with 16.2% in the Far Eastern district, 14% each in the North-Western and Volga districts, 13% each in the Southern and Siberian districts, and 12% each in the Ural and North Caucasus districts.
The largest share of the party’s potential voters lives in urban-type settlements (24.5%), in cities with populations of 50,000–100,000 (20.2%), and in cities with over a million inhabitants (18.4%). The smallest share is in rural areas (11.2%). The high figures for the first two settlement types likely reflect declining living standards there compared with major cities, and consequently higher levels of dissatisfaction.
Profile of potential Yabloko voters:
They are the best-informed electorate of any party: 23.3% knew the exact date of the upcoming elections.
Yabloko voters demonstrate almost no television consumption: 42.5% do not watch television at all, 8.1% watch it very rarely, and 26.8% watch it daily.
They are active Internet users: 58.5% spend more than four hours online each day, 30% spend fewer than four hours, and only 6.2% of potential Yabloko supporters do not use the Internet at all.
Yabloko’s voters are the most highly educated: 60.3% have completed or are completing higher education, including 13.5% who hold two or more degrees or an academic qualification. A further 28.6% have a secondary vocational qualification.
36.4% are employed, 11.9% are students, 9.1% are self-employed, 6.5% are business owners, 17.8% are retired and not working, and 5.8% are retired but still in employment.
73% work in the commercial sector, 19.3% in the public sector, and 4.5% in the non-profit sector. By industry the split is as follows: 15% each work in manufacturing and trade, 9.5% in education, 7% in communications and IT, 6% each in construction and services, and 4% each in healthcare and finance.
Young people: among voters aged 18–24, 30% said they were considering voting for Yabloko; among those aged 25–34, the figure was 19.5%.
Finally, potential Yabloko voters account for 8.8% of all female voters and 6.2% of all male voters of the country.
The margin of error for responses close to 3% is 0.8%; for responses close to 15%, it is 1.7%.
“The VTsIOM poll shows that, despite the negative information environment and sustained pressure on party leaders and activists, Yabloko has maintained its electoral rating over the past year. The party is in a good starting position ahead of the federal parliamentary campaign, with room to grow,” said Ivan Bolshakov, head of Yabloko’s Analytical Centre.
It should be noted that elections to the State Duma of the 9th convocation are scheduled to take place in Russia in September 2026. Yabloko announced in December 2025 that it would be standing in the campaign. “Events have fully borne out the correctness of our position on the most pressing issue of the day — ending the largest conflict in Europe since World War II by reaching a ceasefire agreement and beginning negotiations towards a lasting peace,” runs the statement of the Federal Political Committee of Yabloko.
Posted: March 30th, 2026 under Elections, State Duma Elections, State Duma Elections 2026, Без рубрики.




