1.4. THE COURSE
The Problems of Federal
Authority
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What will be the role of the federal power
in the
reintegration of Russia? Now we are speaking about the
federal authorities as a whole, without differentiation
between the legislative and the executive authority, and
the
President's power structures; though certain diametrically-
opposed attitudes toward the processes developing have
already formed within these structures.
Here various scenarios are possible:
- following up the developments and acting
in accordance
with the logic of the developments (in the best case -
foreseeing the developments and preventative measures which
would channel the process into a constructive stream);
- counteraction to the existing processes,
an attempt to fix
the current state of affairs, and recreate the vertical
power structure so as to hinder the integration of Russia
on
a new basis.
The second variant is rather dangerous.
At first glance it
seems that this counteraction won't lead anywhere. It can
only delay the timeframes of the transformations, which
will
still be necessary and will take place by all means. But
it
is not so. Such actions by the federal authorities performed
either through introducing "martial law", or through
strengthening the institution of the President's
representatives in the regions (which is envisaged by one
of
the amendments to the draft of the new Constitution of
Russia, forwarded by the Russian President to the
Constitutional Commission of the Supreme Soviet in mid-
August), or through delaying the elections of the local
administration heads, will result in the desire of the
regions to liquidate the federal power in its present form,
replacing it with some other form. Out of the element which
could coordinate interregional contradictions, the federal
authority will turn into a toy in the hands of the regions.
In this case we will enter a more or less long period of
social chaos, and it will be impossible to get out of it
without serious losses. In general, the union authorities
had already made an attempt to "keep and hold",
which led to
the loss of power by the union structures and to
disintegration of the country.
The first variant is highly desirable. In
this variant the federal power plays a role as a balancing
force, it rules the process, and turns the spontaneous disintegration
into a manageable reintegration of the country. In this
case the
integrity which will result out of political
reforms will be
different from the integrity which would come out of the
second variant. The only thing in common here is that both
the ways will lead to a formation of a new structure. But
in
the first case the system will remain in balance, the
federal authority will play an active role, and
overexaggerated demands of the regions won't be fulfilled;
with this purpose there will be used corresponding
institutions supported by the other regions' interests and
the federal authorities' rights. If the central power acts
within the developing process, its performance will become
a
very important condition for formation of responsible
subjects of the federation. In this scenario, one more
factor can be added to the list of those facilitating the
formation of the new subjects of the federation.
It would be desirable that the political
process develop
such that the Centre and the regions simultaneously initiate
the transformations.
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