1.1. Concise Analysis of
the Situation.
The Political Environment
in the Russian Federation.The Regions.
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Two groups of regions may be distinguished: the first is
represented by the republics, autonomous okrugs and the
autonomous oblast and the second - by the oblasts and krais.
Within the first group we can separate two
groups of
regions: the first includes the republics with strong
demands to separate from Russia (Tuva and Bashkortostan;
Sakha (Yakutia) in the long term; or Tatarstan and Chechnya,
which have already declared their separation); and the
second - the republics where the situation is generally
tranquil (Chuvashia, Mordovia, Mariy El,
etc.). The problem
of separation is not yet urgent for the second group of
regions (by which is meant only oblasts and krais).
What forces are putting forward the regions'
demands for
separation? Usually such demands are forwarded by:
- regional executive authorities;
- regional legislative authorities;
- parties, and public and political movements.
It is early to speak of separation of oblasts
and krais.
Except for Siberia, which is not a region in the aforesaid
meaning of the word, although as regards separation of
Siberia one can adopt the above classification of the
forces. (In the case of Siberian separatism, with its more
than century-long history, we are speaking not about the
demands of executive or legislative authorities, rather
we
can only speak about the demands of "public and political
forces", which are guided by a very effective ideology
according to which Siberia is Russia's colony, and thus
its
separation is rather natural, like the separation of Latin-
American Spanish-speaking colonies from Spain).
The reasons for Russia's political disintegration
are
diverse. They are partially of ethnic and partially of
economic nature. The striving for power by the republican
political elites also plays one of the major roles here.
But, in any case, all these factors act together when
political disintegration takes place. And here the economic
factors are becoming vitally important, and in some cases
even prevailing. Separation of oil-rich Tatarstan was no
accident, and neither were similar developments in
Bashkortostan and Yakutia.
Strictly economically, the "threat
of separation of a
regions" would never arise "if the problem of
granting them
regular privileges was solved" (E.Gaidar). This
interpretation is vaguely based on a notion
of some general
"regions", regardless of the division into oblasts
and
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republics, and a confusion between political
and economic
disintegration. (Of course, it is possible to speak of
"regions in general", but that would be another
level of
abstraction, and in such a general understanding this notion
cannot be applied to the analysis of economic and political
disintegration in Russia).
We can even say that for many republics,
political self-
determination largely serves (or will serve) as a condition
for economic separation from the "centre", though
political
and economic disintegration are developing in parallel.
But
it is quite disturbing that in some cases Russia's oblasts
are beginning to behave like republics. Thus, not only
Tatarstan, Bashkorstan, and Sakha (Yakutia), but also the
Novosibirsk, Chelyabinsk, Tyumen, Samara, Sakhalin and other
regions (oblasts) adopted one-channel taxation.
The first cases of political grouping of
the regions for
economic opposition to the "centre" have been
registered.
This has been furthered by the rash attempt of the "centre"
to "introduce proper order" (for example, the
Law on the
Budget System for 1992, adopted on July 17, 1992 by the
Supreme Soviet of the Russian Federation, and Parliament's
resolutions, which envisage sanctions against regions
violating two-channel taxation). The fact that these blocs
are being formed at a "qualitatively new stage"
is rather
disturbing. Some of the republics not only "prepare
to take
additional measures in fortifying their state sovereignty",
but also unite in their struggle against the Centre (i.e.,
the signing of a joint declaration by the leaderships of
Tatarstan, Bashkortostan and Sakha (Yakutia), targeted
against the aforesaid decision of the Parliament). "The
qualitatively new stage" also includes the fact that
both
the subjects of the Federation Treaty (in this case,
Bashkortostan and Sakha (Yakutia), and the republics that
did not sign it (Tatarstan)) are beginning to band together
against the federal Centre. This presents
a threat to the
present Federation and may lead to a situation in which
at
least some of the republics will rescind their signing of
the Federation Treaty.
Conflicts within separate regions deserve
special mention. These may also include those between small
nationalities and regional authorities. For example, the
conflict in Primorski Krai between the Udydeya people and
the administration of the krai arose because of the timber-felling
by the South Korean corporation Hende, which was destroying
the environment of the Udygea people. The Ussuriy Caussaks
also supported the demands of the Udygea. Other conflicts
may be between the Russian population and republican authorities
declaring the independence of the republic. In the latter
case, if the Russian population is densely distributed,
then a demand for a Russian autonomy within the republic
may arise. Such a situation was developing some time ago
in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). Also the demands of
some nationalities to create national areas (for example,
the Congress of the Shapsug People set forth such demands
in the Krasnodar Krai), and potential
clashes between the regions can be classified as conflicts
of the latter type. The conflicts between regions are connected
with the fact that many of the borders between the republics
and oblasts of the Russian Federation are rather ill-defined,
and there are cases in which a city administratively subordinated
to one oblast is mostly situated on the territory of another
republic (such as Saratov, which is situated on the border-
line of the Nizhni Novgorod oblast and Mordovia).
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