Introduction
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The present developments in Russia were
predicted by many
acute observers long ago.
G.P. Fedotov wrote in 1929 that "...no-one
can argue with
the threat of separatist movements, tearing away at the
body
of Russia. Dozens of nationalist mentalities emerged and
were strengthened in its weakened body during the eleven
years of revolution. Some of them have already acquired
threatening strength." It was the same author who in
1947
- 12 -
said the following: "Removal of the
heavy burden, which has
been threatening the peoples of Russia for thirty years
will
entail an outburst of all the latent revolutionary and
centrifugal forces. While the Russian people will square
accounts with their executioners, in the inevitable overall
chaos the majority of the nations, as happened in 1917,
will
demand the right to separate."
I.A.Ilyin saw alternatives for Russia: "...
after the
downfall of the Bolsheviks ... two opportunities will
appear: either a Russian nationalist dictatorship will
emerge within Russia and will take the firm 'reins of
government' in its hands... and will lead Russia toward
integrity, cutting short all and any separatist movements
in
the country; or such a dictatorship will not arise, and
an
unimaginable chaos of transformations, recurrences,
revenge,
massacre, transport breakdowns, unemployment, hunger, cold
and anarchy will begin".
Regarding some parts of the former USSR
(and of course,
Communist Russia), if the second scenario envisaged by
I.A.Ilyin was almost fully realized, and if it is also quite
realistic as regards modern-day Russia, then would it be
logical to pose the question of what will happen to the
present Russia? And an even more painful issue - of whether
Russia will exist at all. If so, in what form as a state?
Will it necessarily be a dictatorship?
To answer these questions, we must first
address another: what is the present state structure of
Russia? In other words, it is worthwhile to assess the situation
from the point of view of the relationship between the Russian
territories and the central authorities?
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