3.2. Prognosis and Strategy
Intra-Regional
Contacts
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With the help of EPICENTER's information
and research
system, over 800 alternative producers of 35 types of raw
materials, fuel, other materials, and associated deficit
goods required by enterprises of the Nizhni Novgorod oblast,
have been found. It also provides recommendations on the
re-
orientation of the oblast's economic ties.
As well as urgently required measures to
reduce fuel and
energy, we believe that inter-regional supply lines can
be
improved by taking the following steps:
- the development of local production of
goods, which can be
produced in the oblast (building materials, table salt,
organic synthesis products, agricultural technology,
electricity based on local raw materials, such as peat,
textiles and other articles of light industry);
- a gradual re-orientation of economic contacts
toward regions within Russia (ferrous metals from the Urals
and Western Siberia, titanium from Krasnoyarsk territory,
agricultural technology from the Central Economic Region
and Western Siberia, and radio parts from the Central Region
and the republic of Mariy-El);
- a search for alternative suppliers in
a bid to eliminate all dependence on monopolist regions
(oil, coal, and gas from the Astrakhan and Orenburg oblasts,
Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan).
The last two steps should be consolidated
via investments,
technical and material assistance in the development and
expansion of production in other regions, which are required
by the oblast. Such steps have already been taken by Nizhni
Novgorod oblast administration with respect to Kaliningrad
oblast (in the development of a fishing fleet). Analogous
measures could be undertaken in Volgograd oblast in the
construction of "river-sea" tankers.
In terms of potential re-integration, the group of "crystallization
nuclei" is very important: Nizhni Novgorod- Samara
(in the Greater Volga association) - Novosibirsk
(bilateral agreement) - Krasnodar (personal contacts between
governors, bilateral ties, and the creation of the Nizhni
Novgorod - Ekaterinodar trading house).
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