In the coming days the verdict of the Central Electoral
Commission (CEC) will be announced: who of the candidates
submitting voters signatures to the CEC will be registered
as presidential candidate. The quality and authenticity of
the signatures have nothing to do with this [check up by CEC]
and registration. It will be Vladimir Putin who will make
the decision on the issue.
My prediction is like this: [oligarch] Mikhail Prokhorov
will be registered, and Grigory Yavlinsky not. Why?
We have learned from The New Times, that the evening on December
9, Vladimir Putin telephoned Mikhail Prokhorov and asked him
to run for president.
The 9th of December was just the last day of filing the application
for the registration. In the evening the CEC gave the names
of all those who applied and were registered. Prokhorov was
not among them.
Prokhorov announced his nomination on the 12th of December
- a day after a [mass-scale] rally at the Bolotnaya square
in Moscow. And immediately after this the CEC said that Prokhrovs
notification of his desire to run for the president was suddenly
found.
And for those who even after this doubted that Prokhorov
wsa Putins puppet, the candidate clarified yesterday that
he was "ready to join the winners team" (!) Why
did he say this only yesterday?
Yesterday half of the selected signatures were examined. This
moment is of great psychological importance. Yesterday there
was the first information leak from the CEC to the Kommersant
newspaper hinting of possible failure of Grigory Yavlinsky.
Therefore, it was important for the oligarch yesterday to
remind Vladimir Putin of his utter devotion.
Certainly preparation for the removal of Grigory Yavlinsky
from the campaign had began much earlier. It was surprising
even to the members of the CEC that members of Moscow local
and territorial electoral commissions those who had to confront
YABLOKOs observers on the voting of December 4 were appointed
to examine signatures in favour of Yavlinsky. Our observers
were irreconcilable to the fraud, in contrast to most of the
observers from other parties who agreed to send people from
local and district authorities to local electoral commissions.
The persons examining signatures in favour of Yavlinsky are
all either present of future figures from the Churov List
[compiled by YABLOKO from people engaged in election fraud].
It is clear that their hatred towards YABLOKOs observers
will be turned into a fierce ruthlessness towards signatures
in favour of Yavlinsky.
Why Putin wants to withdraw Yavlinsky from the presidential
elections? There may be three answers:
1. Independent Grigory Yavlinsky would take votes from well-controlled
Mikhail Prokhorov whom Putin appointed to serve as a candidate
for liberals and democrats.
2. Observers from YABLOKOe will only strengthen the scandal
in connection with fraud at the presidential elections, and
Prokhorov will get deaf-and-blind observers who will try to
reduce the scandal.
3. It is a punishment for YABLOKO which has been harshly
criticizing Vladimir Putin, put real observers at the elections
and did not recognize the results of the parliamentary elections.
This week we will get the answer to the question whether
the coming presidential elections will be fair. Withdrawal
of Grigory Yavlinsky from elections will launch and become
a prologue to the outrages lawlessness on [the voting day
of] March 4.
See also:
Presidential
Elections 2012
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