| About a quarter (23.7 per cent) of Russian Internet users
vote for the YABLOKO party at the Russian parliamentary elections.
Such data were obtained via analysis of the polls of several
dozen largest Russian web sites. Over 300,000 people participated
in the polls.
About 60 700 people voted at the Izbircom2011.ru voted; whereas
17.1 per cent out of the total gave their votes to YABLOKO.
The Rosbalt web site polled about 55,000 voters. According
to these polls, YABLOKO obtained 15 per cent. The third largest
poll took place on the Sobesednik web-site (35,000 people).
According to this poll YABLOKO enjoyed 27 per cent.
However, YABLOKO obtained the highest support among the audience
of the Novaya Gazeta paper 37 per cent out of 22,700 people.
The second highest rating the party got at the Radio Liberty
web-site - 33.1 per cent out of 8,700 people, and the third
at the Live Journal of a well-known blogger Rustem Adagamova
(drugoi) 27.1 per cent out of 15.200 Internet users.
"The present poll on the parliamentary elections demonstrated
that Live Journal and Twitter users votings differ drastically
from the [official] VTSIOM and the Levada Centre public opinion
polls. The users polls show that the ruling United Russia,
"the party of winners", is no way close to the 53
per cent [given to it by the official public opinion polls],
and thus does not pass the 7 per cent threashold to the State
Duma. But YABLOKO which, according to all official surveys,
has been an outsider to be an outsider, is the leader here.
And there is much food for thought," Adagamov writes
in his blog.
The blogger also rejects the accusations of an unrepresentative
sample: "the official services of public opinion polls
operate with data collected from about 1,500 people in different
Russian regions. I have looked through the results of voting
in this blog and there was such a variety of cities, not
only Moscow, but also voters from Kaliningrad to Vladivostok
were represented [in my blog]."
"And it's not a thousand people [like in official public
opinion polls], but ten or twenty thousand. Can we talk of
an "unrepresentative sample" in such a case? Who
have seen the data of this thousand voters from VTsIOM? And
[in the blog] they are all here [to be checked] that they
are real people," he concluded.
YABLOKOs analysts also estimated voters support for all
the parties. The list is topped by the Communist Party with
32.5 per cent, YABLOKO comes second with 23.7 per cent, United
Russia is the third (17.2 per cent), Just Russia has 12.4
per cent and Vladimir Zhirinovskys LDPR gets 7.3 per cent.
In such a case the distribution of deputies mandates will
be as follows: the Communist Party - 157 seats, YABLOKO -
114 seats, United Russia - 83 seats, Just Russia - 60 seats
and LDPR - 36 seats.
Dark blue - the ruing United Russia party
Blue - LDPR
Red - Communists
Yellow - Just Russia
Green - YABLOKO
Data are given as of 9 p.m. November 27. A complete table
of the Internet votings and distribution of deputies mandates
can be found at YABLOKOs
Russian web-site.
See also:
Elections
to the State Duma 2011
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