There is nothing tragic about the split of the democrats
Recently Yabloko and I have been accused of dividing
the democratic forces and even betraying democracy, whose
ideals we have foresaken for personal ambitions. In response
to the comments on our "ambitions" I would merely
say that if the accusations were just, I would not act
in the way that I do, but would instead adhere to the
proposals made by my critics. I was proposed as head of
a united list of democrats at the parliamentary elections
- what else could a politician cherishing personal ambitions
desire? However, I rejected this offer, as it did not
comply with my idea of the interests of the democratic
movement in Russia. I shall focus on these interests in
the following article entitled "The Sources of the
Crisis"
The democratic movement in Russia in the period between
the creation of the Group of Inter-regional Deputies (1989)
and the dissolution of the Congress of People's Deputies
was more or less united and represented an influential
political force. However, the democratic movement has
undergone a serious crisis ever since the break-up of
the USSR until the present day: it is dispersed and does
not wield significant influence. Some analysts attribute
this development to "individual" traits of the
leaders of the democratic movement - over-riding ambition,
incompetence and political infantilism. There are certain
grounds for making such statements, although clearly this
provides an insufficient base for understanding the main
reasons behind the crisis.
The democratic movement emerged on a wave of spontaneous
anti-communism and rejection of the regime built by the
Communist Party in our country. The democratic nature
of this movement was determined by the majority's support
for this movement rather than spontaneous anti-communism,
as democracy implies policies supported by majority, with
due respect of the interests of the minority. (A policy
which is rooted in majority opinion, but disregards the
views of the minority cannot be called a liberal democracy.
Furthermore, a policy based on minority interests cannot
be called democracy at all.)
The crisis in our democratic movement began, when its
future was staked on a minority. The stage of "the
radical economic reforms" began after the democrats
came to power at the end of 1991. Due to both subjective
(the type of reforms and the methods of their implementation)
and objective reasons (the specifics of Russia's economy),
the reforms almost immediately addressed the concerns
of a minority (subsequently referred to as "the business
elite"), which began collecting dividends from the
reforms. Most of the population were cut off from property
and resources.
Here we should definitely differentiate between the reforms
and forced action. The price liberalization programme
implemented by Yegor Gaidar was to a large extent determined
and planned as early as 1990-1991. Demonstrating outstanding
determination, Yegor Gaidar initially really tried to
lead Russia out of an economic coma and undertook a significant
part of the "dirty work". Consequently, it was
only to be expected that he became unpopular, as anybody
else would have in such a situation, although he turned
out to be a historic figure in the most difficult period
of Russia's reforms.
Unfortunately, the government refused to listen to our
proposals that economic ties with former Soviet republics
should not be destroyed: that prices should be freed rapidly,
but gradually instead of in one day; that this process
should be initiated first with raw materials, rather than
processing; that the inflationary "hang-over"
should be eliminated through absolutely clear-cut monetary
privatization, rather than "voucher" privatization,
etc. The goal of my criticism was not to belittle Yegor
Gaidar's achievements, but merely to state the obvious
fact that his reforms should have gone further than just
the first steps. As the reforms were restricted to only
initial steps, they were inevitably transformed into reforms
for a minority.
The pace of the reforms slackened abruptly after May
1992. However, none of the reformers were courageous enough
to admit as much to the general population. People strained
themselves to the limit, as they tried to accept all the
problems they faced, owing to a belief that they had to
endure all these difficulties for the sake of the reforms.
Although the reforms were in fact being curtailed, they
were now being imitated on a large scale in the country.
Unfortunately, Yegor Gaidar was only prepared to admit
this fact in 1994.
In this way the economic reforms and interests of most
Russian citizens diverged. The realization of this fact
led the "democratic" government to lie and be
cruel Consequently people who had fully backed the democrats
became deeply disillusioned. They even began to think
that democratic values could not be established in today's
Russia. This is the fundamental reason behind the crisis
of the democratic movement in Russia.
The crisis caused a split. Different divisions, collisions and scandals
emerged. At first a considerably narrower grouping, "Russia's
Choice" emerged from "Democratic Russia". Then we witnessed
the departure of such well-known democratic figures as Yegor Gaidar,
Gennady Burbulis, Alexandr Shokhin, Ponomaryov, Boris Fyodorov and
Ella Pamphilova. A third grouping, "The Democratic Choice of
Russia", emerged. Developments in Chechnya further aggravated
the crisis - Andrey Kozyryev and Oleg Boyko left the democrats. The
differences in the faction, which had already lost many members, even
those who had come through federal lists, intensified. (The scandal
with Vladimir Bauer had passed well beyond the bounds of decency).
Finally, Anatoli Chubais suspended his membership of "Democratic
Choice of Russia" so that noone could question his loyalty to
Viktor Chernomyrdin.
These departures and splits took place, as a rule, inside
the "whole" - within the common "democratic
home". Its inhabitants had been united in their backing
for reforms that helped a minority; nothing had been said
about any alternative. In such a situation a basic
division of democrats in terms of their attitude towards
the policies carried out by the country's leadership represents
the only way to preserve the prospects of democratic development
for Russia.
Two democracies
Unfortunately, the democratic alternative to the government's
policy in 1992-1993 was weak due to our mentality, traditions,
specifics and the difficulties of the economic transformation.
Consequently, defence of democratic values (in name only)
was assumed by forces alien to these values in their very
nature. The democrats left their political opponents to
display all the compassion to the pain and difficulties
of the reforms. People began to think of Boris Yeltsin
and Yegor Gaidar as unsuccessful architects of shock therapy
treatment, whereas they regarded Alexander Rutskoi, Vladimir
Zhirinovsky and Gennady Zyuganov were regarded as the
"resuscitators" and consolers of the poor.
In such a situation it was essential that the democratic
forces criticise the government's policies. It was also
necessary to work out an alternative that would allow
the democracy to return to its fundamental values - the
interests of the majority. The transfer of YABloko to
the democratic opposition, which occurred in October 1993,
was caused by a desire to find a way out of the crisis
in the democratic movement(caused by an erroneous identification
of democracy with President Yeltsin's policies and Yegor
Gaidar's economic course), rather than a desire to deepen
the crisis of the democratic movement. However, a democratic
opposition couldn't be created without revising some basic
ideological postulates of the democrats backing Boris
Yeltsin.
Until recently the title "democrat" was assumed
exclusively by advocates of successive concentration of
power in the hands of Boris Yeltsin and supporters of
financial stabilization in the spirit of orthodox monetarism.
If you criticised Boris Nikolaevich and perceived other
aims and goals in the economy other than the need to combat
the budget deficit, you forfeited the title of democrat.
Only the fortunate few escaped being labelled communo-fascists.
In this way the social and political fabric of democracy
was artificially narrowed. Society was forced to choose
between the following primitive dilemma: either Gaidar's
reforms or the restoration of communism. This skilfully
propagandised simplicity obliged society to choose between
the two extremes. So the majority, unsatisfied with the
reforms, turned their back on the democrats and rushed
to support the forces which disowned the democrats for
their anti-national policies, in other words the communists
and nationalists. It was only possible to stop the drift
of society in that direction by persuading people that
the democratic reforms could be different. And that the
alternative to the current policies is not necessarily
a return to the past, but rather another movement forwards
to the future and different reforms.
It is the absence of such an alternative that drives
us to a paradox Frequently noted by sociologists: the
advocates of democracy in Russia exceed in number those
willing to vote for democrats at the coming elections.
That is the crux of the problem that may be solved only
by asserting the democratic alternative to Yeltsin's policy
and Gaidar-Chernomyrdin's reforms.
The ability of political forces to elaborate alternative
forms of development demonstrates the strength of these
forces rather than their weakness. This was well demonstrated
by the opponents of the democrats: after defeat in October
1993 the national-patriots already managed to gain seats
in parliament in December 1993, though through other national-patriotic
and communist political forces. The possibility of choosing
an alternative way today provides the left with wide-ranging
opportunities to attract different population strata.
The democrats face a diametrically opposing situation.
They are trying to persuade us that the democratic ranks
should be homogeneous as a monolith. Even if there any
differences, they should never be developed structurally,
leading to the evolution of different parties, factions
and electoral blocs. This is paradoxical. The communists
and groupings close to them (notwithstanding Lenin's teaching)
successfully practice political pluralism, whereas the
democrats who always advocated such pluralism, have suddenly
become the ardent adherents of the Resolution of the 10th
Congress of the Russian Communist Party (Bolshevisks)
"On the Unity of the Party".
The ability to offer alternatives is not only a tactical,
but also a Strategic goal of the democrats in Russia.
In politics, as in nature, survivalist instincts dictate
that each species is divided into sub-species, populations
and families, etc. and that they become involved into
inter-species competition. Pluralism in the democratic
movement should not be looked upon as a tragedy; it is
the only correct direction that offers Russian democracy
any opportunity for further development and growth.
What would have happened if the democrats had acted as
a single bloc during the 1993 elections? Clearly, this
bloc would have collected less votes than "Russia's
Choice", PRUA and YABloko obtained in total. This
would have been a just punishment for such a retreat from
their principal positions. Even if the number of the votes
had been the same, the present drop in popularity of "Russia's
Choice", all its splits and scandals would have become
by now an apposite feature of the whole democratic camp
rather than a single part of the democrats (as is the
case today). This would have led to a catastrophic loss
of trust in all democratic forces, and, consequently,
to even greater irreversible discrediting of the notions
"democracy" and "reforms" for most
citizens.
The "Weimar" scenario
When they trying to persuade the electorate that a union
of all the democratic forces under a single roof is necessary,
our opponents have devised another, seemingly impeccable
argument. They speak about the fascist threat, adding
that it can only be opposed by a united democratic bloc,
and draw parallels with the Weimar Republic and the situation
in Germany in the 1920-30s.
The parallel with the Weimar Republic is really remarkable,
but in a Quite another sense. Admittedly, the weak democracy
of Germany then Sometimes resembles our unstable situation
(although the parallel is quite incongruous, as the authorities
in Russia, unlike those in the Weimar Republic, tend to
apply authoritarian and illegitimate methods). It is true
that the collapsing Weimar democracy was replaced by Hitler's
regime. But this did not happen because the democrats
failed to unite with someone. They failed to develop
a democratic alternative to the social-economic policy
of the democrats in power at that time. This policy
led to a rejection of democracy by a significant part
of German society: they decide to embrace either the communists
that saw their goal in Stalin's USSR or the national socialists.
There was no third way. And if we want to try and find
productive historic parallels, instead of focusing on
Germany, it would be more beneficial to look at the experience
of the USA in the 1930s where Franklin Roosevelt managed
to offer a new economic course and extricate the country
from the crisis, while preserving democratic values.
The idea of a "single front" against the "dark
forces" also raises other concerns. The developments
in 1991 and 1993 in Russia demonstrated that the country
did not want a restoration of totalitarism: the communists,
the agrarians and advocates of Vladimir Zhirinovsky altogether
failed to muster even 25% of the total number of votes
during the last elections.
The majority don't support the communists and the fascists,
and, most importantly, they don't believe that they will
come to power. Therefore, the people won't be led by people
who call on them to join the ranks against the "red
and brown". But this does not imply that we should
not engage in a political and ideological struggle with
these forces. The democrats agree on this point. But you
can hardly unite the electorate on this basis. Differentiation
in society did not take place along the lines of "fascism
versus freedom". Most citizens worry about the late
payment of wages, low living standards, uncertainty about
the future, crime and corruption and the war in Chechnya,
rather than hypothetical "communo-fascism".
But instead of resolving these problems, they are proposing
that we fight our enemies. We are being told to "look
for our lost wallet, not where we dropped it, but rather
where there is light".
Victor Chernomyrdin and his "bloc of bosses"
are posited as another argument to support a union of
democrats. In actual fact the authorities today adopt
methods characteristic of non-democratic regimes. This
demonstrates a readiness to be transformed into an aggressive
regime. They say that we should unite against the bad
methods used by the authorities and support all their
good endeavours. In other words, the reforms are good
and the war in Chechnya is bad.
Unfortunately the war in Chechnya constitutes a direct
consequence of current political and economic policies,
rather than a deviation or an anomaly. Consequently we
oppose all these policies, rather than some individual
elements. We oppose the authorities in principle, as we
think that they have been implementing undemocratic policies.
Meanwhile our opponents say that the authorities have
been implementing the right policies in almost every area,
except for Chechnya. They term the capitalism that has
been created in our country "bureaucratic and disgusting",
saying that they don't like it, but at the same time completely
support the government's economic policy and a version
of the budget, which will merely seek to consolidate this
form of capitalism. How can we build a viable coalition
withthem? We may hate the same things, but this is not
enough for a union. Consolidation is only possible on
the basis of a similar understanding of the reasons lying
behind such undemocratic policies, rather than simply
a protest against its consequences.
The war in Chechnya was to some extent programmed by
the Constitution, which was idly and unaccountably supported
by the pro-government democrats in 1993. You cannot create
a coalition against a totalitarian regime, if you avoid
analysing the problem at the core of the policy, which
carries such a threat. The current regime in itself is
unlikely to turn fascist, but it can open the door in
that direction, as the door was opened by the authorities
of the Weimar Republic. And we perceive only one way of
opposing this threat: the creation of a democratic alternative
to the economic and political policies of the authorities.
Our alternative
YABloko entered the political scene when the major threat
for the Democrats was posed by their unattractive image
as some irresponsible force, which was ready, for the
sake of some vague macro-economic goal, to reduce pensioners
to extreme poverty, exhaust people by late payment of
wages and make Russia's economy dependent on abstract
principles developed for other countries and situations.
We are trying to show that democratic ideas are not a
sectarian property of one political trend and are instead
one of a great number of economic schools.
We are trying to persuade Russian society that there
is a democratic alternative to the current regime. The
elections in 1993 proved that there is public demand for
such an alternative, but it transpired that the democrats
were unable to more or less fully satisfy this demand.
However, those elections gave us the hope that democracy
in Russia won't collapse together with another failure
of the economic reforms (provided there is an alternative),
and the defeat of Boris Yeltsin at the next elections
won't represent the end of the democratic movement.
We consider ourselves to be democrats. And our goal is
to create an effective market economy and strengthen democratic
values, including the observation of human rights as well
as law and order. We will brook no deviations from these
basic positions. But we think that the present regime
is unable to implement these goals. This regime has constantly
broken the law, failed to develop democratic institutions
and create the basis for a market economy. The authorities
have reverted to a form of rule endemic in our country
- the monopolistic oligarchy - and have been allying with
the criminal world. They discredit the ideas of democracy
and a market economy in Russia and create a feeding groudn
for the fascists and the orthodox communists. That is
why we are a democratic opposition to the authorities.
We are an irreconcilable opposition to supporters of Vladimir
Zhirinovsky, the national-patriots and the orthodox communists.
People have accused us of adopting the position of irresponsible
and disinterested criticism. This is not true. We have
constantly offered alternatives and improvements to the
key issues of economic policy. After the "500 Days
Programme" and the "Window of Opportunity",
we drafted a treaty on economic union with the former
Soviet republics and all the agreements to this treaty.
We proposed a detailed plan of regional reforms "The
Nizhni Novgorod Prologue", alternative draft budgets
for 1994 and 1995, a post-voucher privatization programme
for large-scale industry and a three-year anti-inflation
plan.
We consider a regional loan programme that we developed
and implemented together with Boris Nemtsov as early as
1992 as a sign of our success. It allowed the people living
in the Nizhni Novrogod region to apply protective safeguards
against high inflation and also - and this is extremely
important - to believe in local administration. We also
managed to simplify as much as possible the registration
of private businesses. We managed to create a system of
direct assistance for pensioners and the poor. A vast
amount of work was done in Nizhni Novgorod on land reform,
making amendments to the taxation system and seeking effective
decisions for military enterprises. We tried to link the
reforms with the interests of the majority. If at least
half of Russia's regions had managed to implement what
was done by Boris Nemtsov, the situation in the country
would have been markedly different. No one from Zhirinovsky
or the communists succeeded at local elections in Nizhni
Novgorod - surely this proves that we were right?
And, finally, something else has transpired. Chernomyrdin's
government has declared that it is the ruling party. It
has transformed itself from an economic appendage of a
presidential Structure into a political organisation,
claiming full responsibility for developments in the country.
Therefore a vote of no confidence has stopped being a
mere gesture, as was the case in autumn, and has been
transformed into an independent political issue. Even
though the influence of the government on the country's
domestic and foreign policy is still limited and depends
on the President, in the new circumstances we should oppose
not only the President, but also the government.
Speaking on behalf of all democratic forces, we think
that the relationship with the authorities can only be
based only on firm criticism of the gross political and
economic failures of the present regime. In our opinion,
democrats should not create comfortable political conditions
for this regime. This only leads to a situation where
Yeltsin and Chernomyrdin are drifting towards a nomenclatura
of nationalists and communists, as the democrats (especially
when facing the threat of a communist or nationalist dictatorship)
have nowhere to turn to.
The Coalition
The future of political and economic reforms in Russia
remains the main factor that we consider, when drafting
a coalition policy for the impending parliamentary and
presidential elections.
Clearly there is a close link between the parliamentary
and presidential election. These are the two stages of
a single process, but there are considerable differences
between them. Therefore we are going to adhere different
strategies at the presidential and parliamentary elections,
including in terms of our coalition policy.
Parliament exists to reflect the positions of different
social groups. Society should see itself mirrored in this
frame to be able to take as conscientiously as possible
a decisive step in June 1996. One must realise the difference
between democrats and non-democrats, and also clearly
understand the discrepancies of those groupings which
consider themselves reformers.
Is there any reason for a union of large political movements,
such as "Russia's Choice" and YABloko, at the
parliamentary elections? These political forces have many
differences, primarily in terms of economic policy. How
can parties - where the former supports the government's
policy, votes for the budget and rejects a no-confidence
vote in Chernomyrdin's bloc, while the latter opposes
the government, rejects the budget and supports a no-confidence
vote in the government - join together in a single bloc?
Why should we mislead the electorate?
In addition, recent public opinion polls (both federal
and regional) Indicated that public disapproves the idea
of such a union.
There is also another strong argument against the union
of large political organisations:: working teams should
come to the parliament. And a good team cannot be assembled
by mechanically joining different factions into a single
list. No simple abstract ideas can replace the long-standing
experience of joint work and the unique psychological
climate which is indispensable for the inner solidarity
of the faction. If you ignore this fact, you create a
non-viable hybrid, which will disintegrate on the very
first day of parliament's work.
All the aforementioned facts refer to political parties
who think that they will overcome the 5% barrier at the
parliamentary elections. But a large number of newly created
small parties and movements will also participate in the
elections: it will be very difficult for them to overcome
the 5% barrier on their own. It is necessary to create
a coalition with them, so that the votes of their electorate
are not lost.
Once again I would like to stress that voters face the
issue of the type and methods of economic reforms in the
elections to the State Duma.
In the presidential elections the country will solve
a more principle problem: the type of political regime
in Russia and its direction.
Presidential elections cannot be won alone. Presidential
candidates Follow principally different goals than parties
at parliamentary elections. The goal of a presidential
candidate is to gain the support the broadest possible
coalition of the population. Therefore it is important
to highlight at the presidential elections proposals which
could unite different political forces, rather than separate
them. On the threshold of the presidential elections we
will speak not only about the union of the democrats,
but also about the creation of a broad coalition of anti-authoritarian
forces.
Declaring our participation in the presidential elections
we are ready to engage in broad interaction with those
political parties and movements that advocate democratic
form of rule and support the observation of basic human
rights; with the supporters of a free, private and competitive
market economy; with those who realise the danger of authoritarian
power, as stipulated in the Constitution; with the advocates
of constitutional reform targeted at establishing a democratic
balance of power by reducing power proxies of the president
and strengthening the legislative authority and returning
supervisory functions to the latter; with advocates of
a firm differentiation of power between the legislative,
executive and judicial authorities and, finally, with
the opponents of the present President, government and
the party of power that they have created. The actual
name of a political grouping that has already demonstrated
its adherence to these ideas cannot be regarded as an
obstacle to its participation in the coalition at presidential
elections.
At these elections the party of power will have to face
different forces. And if the democrats continue rushing
about, truing to be "the fathers of Russia's democracy"
and at the same time "close confidantes of the emperor"
and fail to develop an alternative in the time that they
have left, if they fail to convince diverse sections of
the electorate that they offer an alternative which meets
the interests of the majority, they will not only fail
to become the nucleus of a broad coalition at the presidential
elections: they will also end up on the back burner of
big politics.
Grigory Yavlinsky