So the St Petersburg Legislative Assembly elections
have taken place.
By
Sunday [8 December] evening it had been possible to clear the 20-per
cent
barrier established by new legislation. Voter turnout amounted to
29.4 per
cent. Contrary to expectations, it was also possible to obtain the
necessary number of voters in all districts.
Voting results: Thirty-eight of the second intake's 50 deputies
retained their seats. This is entirely in keeping with political
scientists' forecasts. However, in terms of the electoral impact
on the distribution of seats in the legislative assembly among
various political forces, here observers' opinions differ.
For example, State Duma Deputy Igor Artemyev, former St Petersburg
deputy
governor and an implacable opponent of the current administration,
believes
that St Petersburg will have a weak parliament which will "decide
little"
since "corporate interest will be exchanged for a deputy's
seat." At
the same time Andrey Likhachev, head of [local energy provider]
Lenenergo
and a local Union of Right-Wing Forces leader, talks of a convincing
victory for
the right-wingers and consequently of a radical change in the
situation
that enables the legislative assembly to seize power from the
Smolnyy
[St
Petersburg City Hall]. Some specialists claim that as a result
of
these elections the number of Governor [Vladimir] Yakovlev's
supporters in
the city's parliament has decreased and consequently that there
is
virtually no chance left of amending the City Charter to enable
the
current head to run for a third term.
At the same time, in their opinion current Federation Council
Chairman
Sergey Mironov does not have to worry unduly about his future.
While before the elections there was still talk about whether
he would
remain St Petersburg parliament's representative in the upper
chamber
of
the Federal Assembly, now there are generally no doubts about
this.
These
conclusions are reinforced by sociologists' conclusions. According
to
the
data of public opinion polls carried out on voting day, 50 per
cent
of voters
consider it correct if the new membership legislative assembly's
did
not
make changes to the charter and only 25 per cent support the
amendment to
the city's fundamental law. At the same time 30 per cent of voters
consider
it correct for parliament to allow Sergey Mironov to retain the
post
of St
Petersburg's representative in the Federation Council. This was
reported to
the Rosbalt news agency press centre by Vladimir Vasilyev, head
of a
political psychology laboratory.
But far from everybody shares this viewpoint. Thus, political
scientist
Yuriy Kurikalov, the legislative assembly's expert, told Rossiyskaya
Gazeta's correspondent that by and large the elections changed
nothing in
the balance of forces in the city's parliament. In his opinion,
more
often than not people with a "federal" or "gubernatorial"
orientation
have
been replaced by exactly the same kind of deputies. Consequently,
it
is
still impossible to predict the result of the battle for the third
term and
Mironov's post.
The breakdown by political blocs and associations looks as follows:
Union of Right-Wing Forces plus Yabloko - eight deputies;
Science, Industry, and Education - 2;
Russian Federation People's Party - 1;
Will of Petersburg - 3;
One Russia - 4;
Political Centre - 1;
Independents - 31.
"Left-wing" and "patriotic" forces increased
their representation most substantially. The Science, Industry,
and Education bloc managed to elect two deputies:in another district
a moderate "patriot" was replaced by a more active colleague.
The bloc of Union of Right-Wing Forces and Yabloko in actual fact
gained virtually nothing from these elections. The allies got
their people into three new districts but on the other hand lost
three former seats. In all other cases old deputies were replaced
by "independents." Here political scientists note one
peculiarity of the current elections - representatives of municipal
formations appeared among the "independents." Two leaders
of municipal formations were elected to the legislative assembly,
and several more municipal officials came second in their districts.
It is also interesting to note that the new legislative assembly
will miss a hefty four former standing commission chairmen - for
legislation; veterans' affairs; education, culture and science;
and for the system of state power, local self-government, and
the administrative-territorial system. In these districts old
deputies were replaced by representatives of political parties
and associations. Obviously this is where substantial changes
in the new parliament's policy should be expected.
If we are talking about the elections in St Petersburg as a rehearsal
for
the Duma elections, then this rehearsal can be declared rather
unsuccessful. In effect nothing has actually changed in St Petersburg.
See also:
Elections to St. Petersburg Legislative Assembly, 2002 |