President Vladimir Putin's proposal to form the
next Cabinet "based on the
parliamentary majority" was the political highlight of his
state of the
nation address Friday. But even in setting this goal, the president's
speech was strategic rather than tactical and short on concrete
details,
politicians and analysts said.
In the context of the main intrigue preceding the speech -- whether
or not
Putin would criticize Mikhail Kasyanov's government and how harshly
-- many
saw the statement as a stick for the Cabinet and a carrot for
the political
parties, mainly pro-Kremlin United Russia, going into the State
Duma
elections later this year.
"We were joking today -- offering Mikhail Kasyanov references
to apply for
United Russia membership," Lyubov Sliska, a deputy Duma speaker,
was quoted
by Interfax as saying after Putin's address. "So far, he
is joking back."
Yabloko leader Grigory
Yavlinsky said that, just like the speech's economic
highlight of calling for GDP to be doubled by 2010, the proposed
political
reform was a thinly veiled threat to the Cabinet.
"Although it is not clear on which principles this proposal
[on forming the
government] will be carried out, the most important thing is that
it was
nonetheless voiced," Yavlinsky said.
Sergei Kolmakov, vice president of the Foundation for the Development
of
Parliamentarianism in Russia, said he considered it very important
that the
idea of a party-based government has "shifted from idle talk
into the
presidential address."
But it was not clear whether Putin planned to create something
akin to the
1998 Yevgeny Primakov Cabinet, which included Communist ministers,
or
whether he would go as far as amending the Constitution, which
stipulates
that Russia is a presidential republic, in which the government
is
appointed by and answerable to the president.
"We'll have to see after the elections whether it is a tactical
step in
order to get rid of Kasyanov's government, or whether it will
lead to
amending the Constitution," Kolmakov said in an interview.
Oleg Morozov, a United Russia member and head of the Russia's
Regions
faction in the Duma, said he would not want to see the Constitution
changed. "In saying that the government should rely on the
parliamentary
majority, I think the president meant that he would like to consult
with
those who make up the majority of the future State Duma,"
Morozov said.
For members of the Cabinet to be party members, the only change
that would
be required to existing legislation would be to amend the law
to give
ministers the right to join political parties, he said, implying
this
should not be difficult.
While Pro-Kremlin politicians were understandably the most supportive
of
Putin's speech, Communists were the most critical.
Ivan Melnikov, deputy head of the Communist Party, said he was
"disappointed" with the address and was even more critical
than his boss,
Gennady Zyuganov. "The message attempted to take the president
out of the
line of fire and shift responsibility to the executive branch,"
Melnikov
was quoted by Interfax as saying. "In essence, not a single
promise that
the president made last year has been fulfilled. At the same time,
the
president has set the tasks to be solved through 2010.
The conclusion that one cannot help but draw from this is that
he will run
not only for a second, but also for a third term."
With the elections dominating the agenda and the past year widely
seen as a
time when the stability that Putin takes much of the credit for
is
threatening to transform into stagnation, his speech writers found
a
creative solution: They broadened the text's time frame.
In speaking about his achievements, Putin referred not to the
year since he
made his last address in April 2002, but to his entire three years
in
office. And in setting out the targets, he spoke not so much of
the year to
come but of goals to be reached in 2008 and 2010, which are beyond
his
presumed second term.
Izvestia political editor Svetlana Babayeva described this in
her article
on Putin's address as a way to battle the "deficit of ideas"
that has been
evident in the Kremlin in the past year. "In an election
year, such tricks
look like a sober political scheme," she wrote.
As did many commentators, Irina Khakamada, the deputy Duma speaker
from the
Union of Right Forces, described the speech as Putin's "pre-electoral
strategy."
Singling out the paragraphs dealing with administrative reform,
military
reform and the formation of the next Cabinet, Khakamada, who in
past years
had praised Putin's addresses as a "business plan for corporate
Russia,"
stressed this time around that the address was short on detail.
"No
concrete measures were spelled out," she said.
At the same time, she was indignant that Putin criticized the
new law on
citizenship, which her party had opposed, but has not punished
any of its
authors in the presidential administration, who pushed the bill
through the
Duma.
Nikolai Petrov, a domestic policy analyst with the Carnegie Moscow
Center,
described Putin's measured address as "appropriate"
given the timing -- on
the eve of the electoral campaign but not yet fully in it.
"The next presidential address is likely to be right before
the
presidential elections, and that will be the time to come up with
concrete
promises and appeals to the electorate," Petrov said. "Now
it is too early
to come out with this."
Staff Writer Natalia Yefimova contributed to this report.
See also:
the original at
www.themoscowtimes.com
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