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NYTimes, November 27, 2003

Russia Pro - Government Party Seen Gaining

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

MOSCOW (AP) -- Russia's main pro-government party is counting on President Vladimir Putin's popularity to carry it to victory in next week's parliamentary elections, analysts said Thursday, paring down its election campaign to this: The president supports us; you should, too.

Putin remains the country's most popular politician. In a survey of 1,600 Russians, the independent VTsIOM-A polling agency said 78 percent trust Putin and 81 percent feel positively toward him. The poll had a margin of error of three percentage points.

"We should talk about the presidential factor -- it will play a big role in the election" Dec. 7, said Gleb Pavlovsky, an analyst with the Fund for Effective Politics.

Analysts said support for Putin should translate into votes for United Russia, which has flooded radio with commercials emphasizing its links with the president and displaying his image on campaign material.

"I'm not going to conceal anything: Four years ago, I voted for your party," Putin told a United Russia conference this fall, according to the party's Web Site. "I believe I was correct."

All recent polls put United Russia firmly ahead, with the Communists in second. The ultranationalist Vladimir Zhirinovsky's Liberal Democratic Party, which follows the Kremlin line, is third, followed by the two liberal parties.

United Russia was formed in the 2001 merger of two leading centrist parties and is the keystone of the pro-government majority in the Duma. The Communists won the most seats of any party in the 1999 parliamentary elections, but lost the majority in the 450-seat house that they had held since the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Pollsters said support for the Communists continues to weaken, especially with the aggressive campaign being waged by United Russia, using its government connections and deep pockets.

According to another polling agency, the Public Opinion Foundation, support for the Communists dropped from 16 percent to 14 percent this month. United Russia, meanwhile, gained six points among potential voters, according to the poll, which did not provide the margin of error.

Grigory Yavlinsky, who heads the liberal Yabloko party, warned in St. Petersburg that the government is trying to create "a tamed Duma with an obedient majority."

That doesn't seem to bother voters, who continue to put their faith in Putin even as they give a mixed assessment to pollsters about the president's efforts to bring order to the country and improve living standards.

"Our political parties operate in a vacuum," said Vladimir Petukhov of the Institute for Complex Social Investigations. "They are not engaging voters."

Putin is. The VTsIOM-A poll said 4 percent of those surveyed are enthralled by him, 38 percent like him and 39 percent can't say anything bad about him.

 

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Elections to the State Duma, 2003

NYTimes, November 27, 2003

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