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United Press International, October 8, 2002

Russia considers electoral change

By Anthony Louis

MOSCOW, Oct. 8 (UPI) -- Leaders of a growing pro-Kremlin political bloc have proposed changing Russia's electoral rules by dramatically raising the threshold of votes in parliamentary elections required for political parties to win seats in the Duma, Russia's lower house.

The move would effectively create a two-party system and divide the chamber between the United Russia bloc and the opposition Communists at the expense of small liberal parties.

The startling proposal, which calls for the threshold to be lifted from 5 percent of the vote to 12.5 percent, received the support of the Communists, who stand to gain from the arrangement, and by ultranationalist Vladimir Zhirinovsky, whose party frequently supports Kremlin initiatives.

The potential losers of any such change, the liberal Union of Rightist Forces and the Yabloko party of Grigory Yavlinsky, slammed the proposal as discriminatory and undemocratic. Both SPS and Yabloko currently hold seats in the Duma, but received less than 10 percent of the vote in the last parliamentary elections and are not expected to do much better next year.

The proposal comes as Russian politicians are drafting plans for next year's parliamentary elections, which are to be held in December 2003.

United Russia officials have been eager to receive the formal backing of President Vladimir Putin, and have taken to heart recent initiatives by analysts and political think tanks with links to the Kremlin to encourage the eventual formation of two political blocs, a left-of-center party and a right-of-center party -- a party of power and a party of opposition -- which would dominate the political landscape in Russia while smaller parties are forced to merge with one of the blocs or are pushed out.

Certain moves to limit the number of parties have already been taken, with new regulations passed or in the works setting the minimum number of regional branches and registered party members across Russia's 89 regions, so as to undermine the presence of smaller parties with a strong power base in only a few regions.

As liberal politicians condemned the initiative, the Kremlin moved to calm passions Tuesday, suggesting a less radical option.

Vladimir Surkov, the deputy chief of the Kremlin administration, was quoted saying the Kremlin would favor the threshold being raised to 7 percent.

But even such a jump would threaten Yabloko, a consistent critic of the war in Chechnya and some of President Vladimir Putin's reforms. Yabloko may receive less than 7 percent in next year's polls, failing to win seats in the Duma for the first time if the rules are changed.

Other, smaller political parties would never be able to achieve parliamentary representation outside a bloc such as United Russia as they are expected to win less than the required minimum number of votes.

The proposed change would affect half the seats in the 450-seat State Duma, which are allocated according to party lists depending on the number of votes each party received.

The remaining seats are decided in single-mandate elections.

With just over a year to go before the next parliamentary elections, both SPS leader Boris Nemtsov and Yabloko's Yavlinsky expressed outrage with the mere idea that the rules can be changed.

The Kremlin's Surkov addressed these fears, saying he believed the change should be implemented within the next few years, in time for the 2007 parliamentary elections.

However, United Russia wants to assure itself a clear majority of seats in the next Duma, and with its lobbyists increasingly active, it remains to be seen who will have the last word on electoral reform.

See also:
State Duma elections 2003

United Press International, October 8, 2002

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