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New York Times, October 15, 2002

Some Anxiety in Russia as Monopoly Nears End

By Sabrina Tavernise

MOSCOW, Oct. 14 - Russia got a new start last week on one of its boldest economic reforms in years: breaking up its vast electricity monopoly.

But many questions remain about how the plan will be carried out, and investors and some lawmakers have warned that the process risks repeating the flaws and mistakes of privatization in Russia in the mid-1990's. That program was often manipulated by powerful insiders who stripped away valuable state assets and left outside shareholders with little or nothing. The Russian legal system is still trying to cope with the fallout.

A central concern that critics have about the breakup of the monopoly, the Unified Energy System, is that it is being driven by the company's chief executive, Anatoly B. Chubais. Mr. Chubais was the principal architect of the earlier privatization program.

The breakup plan for Unified Energy cleared an early legal hurdle on Thursday when a package of bills that will set the plan into motion was passed in the first of three required votes in the lower house of Parliament.

Mr. Chubais argues that the country's deteriorating power stations from the Soviet era need major new investment to keep Russia's electricity grid, the largest in the world, up and running.

To attract the necessary capital, he proposed in 2000 that parts of the company be broken off and sold. The government now owns 52 percent of Unified Energy, and its remaining shares are widely held by institutional investors here as well as by some foreign investors.

But reports have since circulated that Mr. Chubais was striking back-room deals with powerful Russian financial groups to sell choice assets to oil and aluminum companies. The reports rattled investors, many of whom abandoned the stock. Unified Energy's shares have fallen by nearly half since the beginning of the year, while Russia's main stock index has risen by one-third.

"Foreign ownership has gone significantly down," said Florian Fenner, managing partner at UFG Asset Management in Moscow. "Two or three years ago, U.E.S. was very important in the Russian market. Now it's easy to ignore."

Mr. Chubais has denied that any of the rumored asset sales occurred.

Last month, he took pains to reassure the market, and he even went before an investment conference in Moscow to announce a moratorium on asset sales. The stock has since risen 2.4 percent.

The vote in Parliament last week is only the first step in a complex process. The reform bills still face a difficult second vote, and then must be passed by Russia's upper house and be signed by President Vladimir V. Putin before they become law.

Still, government officials, who have undertaken major overhauls of Russia's land ownership system and its court system this year, counted last week's vote as a victory that would advance another important change in Russia's economy.

But the bills have drawn opposition from both ends of the political spectrum, from the liberal Yabloko party and the Communists.

Grigory A. Yavlinsky, the leader of Yabloko, said the breakup plan would put the entire electricity industry into the hands of a few rich business groups.

"A lot can be controlled" if the electricity industry belongs to a select few, he said at a press conference on Wednesday. "They'll say, `Elect Mr. Pupkin, or we'll turn off your lights.' And it will be clear to everyone that, yes indeed, they will turn off the lights."

But even as Mr. Chubais celebrated his victory in Parliament last week, he was under pressure from minority shareholders who are trying to organize a vote to remove him as chief executive. While unlikely to succeed - a similar attempt failed last year - the effort highlights shareholders' frustration with Mr. Chubais.

"It's not about the overall plan, but its implementation," said Alexander Branis, director at Prosperity Capital Management, a Moscow-based investment fund, with $240 million in Russian equities, that is taking part in the initiative to remove Mr. Chubais. "The management has absolutely no right to sell the company's assets."

See also:

Energy Sector Reform

YABLOKO rejects the government's variant for energy sector reform
Press Release, October 10, 2002

The YABLOKO faction in the State Duma will vote against the adoption in the first reading of the "package" of draft laws on reform of the electricity sector.

New York Times, October 15, 2002

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