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The Moscow Times, December 18, 2002

Duma Puts Off a Key Vote on UES's Future

By Alla Startseva

The UES board celebrating the company's 10th anniversary at a conference Tuesday.

Efforts to break up the world's largest utility were dealt a fresh blow Tuesday as political and commercial interests collided to delay a key vote needed to clear the way for the government's most controversial restructuring project.

In a move the government's pointman on power sector reform called "an act of lawlessness," the agenda-setting State Duma Council postponed indefinitely Wednesday's scheduled crucial second reading of a raft of bills needed to break up national power monopoly Unified Energy Systems.

"Saying that another few days is needed is avoiding making a decision," Deputy Economic Development and Trade Minister Andrei Sharonov said.

The reform bills, which passed a first reading in October, are broadly aimed at liberalizing the electricity market by separating the generation, transmission and distribution functions of UES.

Market players and observers said the delay was due to a combination of factors, including pressure from powerful business groups against the reform and trepidation by populist politicians who would prefer to postpone the inevitable price hikes that will result until after parliamentary and presidential elections.

Sharonov said the council will meet on Monday to debate a date for the vote, which he said he hopes could be as soon as Tuesday or Wednesday.

Within the Duma, however, opinions vary on when the vote should be held -- if it should be held at all.

The Union of Right Forces was eager to consider the bills on Wednesday, while the pro-Kremlin centrist factions, which have a majority, want a few more days to discuss the issues. The Communists want to postpone the vote until the spring, while the liberal Yabloko faction does not want to vote on the bills at all -- it wants to go back to the drawing board.

Yabloko leader Grigory Yavlinsky said the decision by the pro-Kremlin State Duma Council may turn out to be "a move by President Vladimir Putin against an economic system dominated by criminals and oligarchs inherited from the former president," news agencies reported.

Kremlin chief of staff and UES chairman Alexander Voloshin, in rare public remarks, told a conference marking the 10-year anniversary of the monopoly that there was no need to rush reforms.

"The quality of reform is no less important to us than the pace," he said.

"All these problems do not mean the reform is cancelled," Voloshin told the conference, which was attended by UES board members, shareholders, politicians and executives from leading businesses, both Russian and foreign.

"We must reach a higher degree of consensus between society, [lawmakers] and shareholders of the company," he said.

UES CEO Anatoly Chubais, who has been lobbying hard in favor of the bills, said he believed they would still be approved, but gave no indication on how long he thought it might take.

Chubais said it had taken almost eight months to get to this stage and Tuesday's delay "was not the first, and possibly not the last."

As for the reasons for the delay, Chubais said, "one should understand that restructuring on such a large scale inevitably results in someone losing in business, in political power."

Brunswick UBS Warburg analyst Fyodor Tregubenko attributed the delay to "the appearance of new and powerful UES shareholders."

"A number of shareholders are not interested in reforming the sector and creating competition, fearing the tariff increases on electricity as a result of the reform," he said.

Market watchers estimate that a so-called consortium of investors has slowly accumulated between 10 percent and 20 percent of UES, a stake that is worth hundreds of millions of dollars.

The likely buyers most often mentioned are chemical, pipe and coal magnate Andrei Melnichenko of MDM-Group, Base Element founder Olge Deripaska, and Millhouse Capital tycoon Roman Abramovich.

If voted collectively, owning 15 percent would be enough to win one or even two seats on UES's board.

"Whoever is buying up UES, they are serious people; we are talking about hundreds of millions of dollars," a top UES manager said last month.

"It's not just MDM, there are several companies," said the manager, who requested anonymity. "They have different aims, some of which are the opposite of the ones UES management has."

"This is a different type of minority investors -- tough -- and it will be difficult to work with them."

Some analysts believe that the buyers want to work sector restructuring to their advantage so they end up with a cheap source of electricity.

Sergei Suverov, an analyst at Zenit bank, said the new UES shareholders -- "the oligarchs who have yet to identify themselves" -- were a major factor in delaying the second reading of the UES reform bills.

"Any delay in the restructuring of the electricity sector is negative and value-destroying for power utilities," Aton said in a report Tuesday. "Postponement of the bills' passage might force the rescheduling of the date for a liberalized market (now set for July 2005), which would further delay the potential unlocking of the power sector's value."

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Energy Sector Reform

Moscow Times, December 18, 2002

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