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Modernisation Versus Stagnation?

By Sergei Mitrokhin
Politkom.ru, June 15, 2010

Announcing a policy towards modernisation in Russia President of Russia put himself in line with a number of Russian rulers-reformers who aspired to perform radical transformations in the country. Some specific traits of this policy resemble those of his predecessors. The President understands modernisation primarily as acceleration of scientific and technological development. With some reservations about the need for political reform, the latter look like a number of quite shallow and very systematic activities...

Thus, Mr.Medvedev’s rhetoric reproduces a historical Russian stereotype of the "catching up" modernisation. Throughout several centuries the Russian state (except for the great reforms of Alexander I) tried to borrow Western advanced technologies, while resisting or neglecting progressive socio-economic relations. However, it was possible to solve the problem of borrowing the technologies that were taken out of their socio-economic context, only by means of violence over the society, i.e., by means of either authoritarian or totalitarian modernisation.

In the 18th century the violence on behalf of the state could help to create a serfs-based industry, which could at least partially respond to the challenges facing the country. In the 20th century the state could with the help of totalitarian methods to create a modern heavy industry. However, some time after these industrial and technological breakthroughs revealed hopeless backwardness of Russia in the development of political, economic and social institutions which in the 20th century led to the collapse of the state twice. It is generally impossible to build an economy of knowledge and high technology with the help of feudal serfs or totalitarian slaves some political forces and governing clans always want to turn the citizens of Russia into. The resource violence in conducting modernisation in the 21st century is not only pointless, but even has exhausted itself. Thus, at present the reformers should focus their attention mostly on modern socio-economic relations, rather than the much desired technologies. The development of these socio-economic relations could serve as an impulse towards development of high technologies. But not vice versa.

However, understanding of these realities is not traced in the President’s speeches. Which means that he has a vague idea of the obstacles in the way of real modernisation in Russia. Without this understanding there is no sense to announce a course towards large-scale transformations.

There are quite many factors for hindering of this hypothetical modernisation process. I will only innumerate those which I consider the most significant, such as:

1. the elite oriented towards stagnation;

2. the oligarchic structure of property rights;

3. inertia of the totalitarian past.

Stagnation of the elite. Modernisation is impossible if the elite does not want changes. Most of the Russian elite is afraid of the changes because of the threat of losing their property and income, they accumulated for the past 20 years. There are a lot of discussions at present about what type of modernization should be conducted: a democratic or an authoritarian. However, both these types have one common condition: the elite should change, the elite of stagnation should be replaced by the elite of development. Change of elites takes place naturally during revolutions, therefore their modernization is inevitable.

In the case of democratic modernization, replacement of elites takes place at elections, while in the case of authoritarian modernisation this task is implemented by a dictator. He cleans out the state apparatus not only of his political opponents, but also those aimed at the enrichment with the help of their posts. And his staff reserve comes from non-elites. If he leaves the old corrupt state bureaucracy, or replaces it with new staff, albeit corrupt, then it is not authoritarian modernisation, but a dictatorship of stagnation, many of these we have seen in Africa and Latin America. In China, this role of elites "renovator" is played by a rotation mechanism built into the system of institutions of the Chinese Communist Party.

Our elite listens to the President’s speeches about modernisation in the Kremlin greeting them with applause, as the elite knows that no rotation and no renewal, moreover no the real fight against corruption will endanger it. As despite all the statements about modernisation, authoritarian rule of stagnation rather than authoritarian rule of development continues functioning in our country.

The oligarchic property structure. Our elites do not need modernisation, as it has property to lose then. The main thing the elite values so much is its dominating position in the system of economic governing, when its representatives control the largest part of the national resources. This is the main social result of privatisation so extravagantly implemented in 1990s and largely conditioning the slow down of the development and hindering modernisation.

The structure of property rights in Russia resembles an inverted pyramid: the higher is the social hierarchy status, the more property and property rights is granted, the lower is the status - the less of both one can enjoy. That is why the Rechnik cottage village, where ordinary people live, rather than a posh Fantasy Island where ministers and oligarchs live is being demolished.

The inhibition factor means that with such an inverted pyramid there is no niche for the development of a sound middle class, which in most of the countries in transition was the key social carrier of the modernisation project. It’s true that the first impulse should be given by the elite, however, if this impulse lacks a powerful social carrier, modernisation will turn out to be an "elite" modernisation and will quickly subside.

A successful modernisation is, as a rule, a product of cooperation between the renewed elite and a dynamically developing middle class. The elite, certainly, creates the conditions for such development providing access to property control over income generating property for broad social layers. Such an alliance forms a vanguard of a "bourgeois" nation which we have never had in our history. And it is impossible to create a stable foundation for long-term social progress without it.

The inertia of the totalitarian past in the Russian society. The country paid an extremely high price for the communist modernisation. However, the past tense is inappropriate here, as the country continuous paying it today too. The forced industrialisation cost us not only millions of lives and people’s fates, but also demolishing of the society as a system of social networks forming a complex organism capable of its independent life. In the course of industrialization the social capital of a traditional society (the peasant culture) was destroyed, while the social capital of the industrial society – the civil society - was deliberately destroyed. The communist industrialisation turned out to be unfinished. It created an industrial technological structure, but did not allow to create a corresponding type of society. Moreover, because of its violent mobilising nature, it created an extremely ugly totalitarian type of society which within the framework of the Stalinist-Bolshevik approach was regarded as a separate type of industry, a kind of a social application to the heavy industry.

Consequently, there formed a society which represented a system of state institutions for public administration rather than a system of social institutions. It was a society suppressing the instinct of self-organisation throughout the lives of three generations and cultivating a request for an organising influence of the state. And this is virtually the form of the society now, which is probably the most powerful factor for inhibition of modernisation. The latter is impossible under such an inert society - with a zero political and social participation. Mass-scale apathy at elections - a phenomenon standing in line with virtually absent trade unions, weak nonprofit organisations, fictitious local self-government and housing self-management, etc. The post-totalitarian society represents a very convenient object for management by the elite safeguarding the aforementioned inverted pyramid of property rights. Such a society is susceptible of the vestiges of totalitarianism, its distributive institutions, its cults and symbols. In addition to this it is susceptible not only of the dead but also the living leaders or their surrogates. In such a form the totalitarian society is preserved through the disfigured, but not eradicated mental complexes, that have been formed by the totalitarian "engineers of human souls."

Here we are appraoching the problem of overcoming the totalitarian past, which was solved by all the countries in transition from totalitarianism to democracy. And each case dealt not simply with exposing of totalitarian leaders and parties, but in parallel with this it dealt with eradication of the social habits carrying the inertia of totalitarianism. We have not virtually solved this problem. In such countries as Germany and Japan, it was solved by the occupational forces. Russia was facing this challenge as the need to “pull itself out” of the totalitarian past “by hair” as [a protagonist of children’s book] Baron Munchausen did. That is why this difficult task was virtually ignored, including the reformers 1990s. In Germany totalitarianism was kept for 12 years, and in Russia as much as 70 years! And this post-totalitarian morass engulfed the weak democracy which was spread on it with a thin layer with large holes.

However, it was a morass from the point of view of democracy, but those who came to power considered it to be their serious support. Many of the totalitarian complexes and rudiments were in demand for strengthening Vladimir Putin’s power. And on the opposite, the sprouts of the civil society were no longer welcome, and were partially trampled down. Instead of overcoming the totalitarian past, its partial restoration took place under Vladimir Putin, which served as an effective instrument of Putin's stabilisation, but today it has become a factor enhancing further stagnation of the regime.

Vladimir Putin still remains the leader of such restoration now sitting in a single tandem with the leader of modernisation Dmitry Medvedev. Probably that is why all Medvedev’s words about modernisation contain nothing about de-Sovetisation de-Stalinization. In this dilemma - restoration versus modernisation - the question of de-Sovietisation is the key one. Until a consistent de-Sovietisaiton is conducted, Vladimir Lenin's “project” will continue functioning and wining over. It has already won over the Soviet Union and the next step will be winning over Russia.

Three conditions for a full-fledged modernisation

Proceeding from the aforesaid, the ruling reformer in modern Russia should do the following:

1) initiate rotation of elites, gradually, but steadily increasing the segment of the "elite of the development" which has to replace the "elite of stagnation" by cultivating a new generation of officials and conducting anti-corruption purges the state apparat;

2) gradually, but steadily transform the property rights structure redistributing control over national resources from the oligarchs to mass layers of medium and small owners; separate the power from the business by all means well-known in the modern world; consequently, weakened oligarchic clans should be ousted from governing of the state and the economy by means of legislative, political and apparat methods; the middle class should be consistently and continuously with the help of exclusively legal methods get all possible kinds of assets (land and real estate), these assets should be taken from under control of bureaucrats and oligarchs. One of the main conditions of the Bolshevik modernisation was liquidation of illiteracy, now it should be liquidation of lawlessness of small and medium-scale owners.

Work in this direction will form at least “at a first approximation” a basis for the middle class as an active social force, which is a foundation for a stable democracy.

3) quickly and decisively begin implementing a comprehensive system of measures for de-Sovietisation; in addition to exposing the crimes of the past period, public consciousness should be cleaned of the enslaving complexes, habits and stereotypes of the past at simultaneous liberation of the civil society, elimination of all the recent obstacles to its development.

Now about fair elections, independent court and many other transformations needed in the process of modernisation. All these institutions have to be formed. However, we should realise that without movement along the abovementioned three streamlines, they will all be either pending or will even make harm. Restoration forces can win event at the most fair elections, and they can again liquidate fair elections. An independent court can not exist without a strong civil society, and judges regard this public opinion as a benchmark in their decision-making, etc.

By the way, Mikhail Gorbachev and Boris Yeltsin had to face all the three aforementioned problems in their time. But they were not solved or the opposite decisions were taken like in the Russian privatisation case.

And yet there has been no sign that Dmitry Medvedev is going to solve these tasks.

 

Sergei Mitrokhin is the leader of the YABLOKO party




 

 

 


June 15, 2010