The Regional Public Fund "Information
for Democracy" (INDEM) basing its figures on the
results of representative sociological polls of the sociology
centre "The Russian Public Opinion and the Market"
(ROMIR) and the independent Agency for Regional and Political
Studies" (ARPI) forecast the results of the Duma
elections scheduled for December 19, 1999.
Georgi Satarov, the President of the INDEM
Fund, said at a press conference on December 15, 1999,
that, according to the forecast based on ROMIR data, 18-21%
of the electorate will vote for the CPRF, 12-15% for the
"Bear" ("Unity"), 10-13% for the "Fatherland
- All Russia" (OVR), 10-12% for Yabloko, 8-9% for
the "Union of Right Wing Forces" (SPS), 5-8%
for "The Zhirinovsky Bloc" and 3-6% for "Our
Home is Russia".
The second forecast of INDEM based on
the ARPI data differs slightly from the first one: 18.6-20.4%
for the CPRF (depending on different scenarios), 15.3-16.5%
for the "Bear" ("Unity"), 12.4-13.4%
for the OVR, 9.3-10.7% for Yabloko, 6.3-8.4% for the SPS
and to 6.6% for "The Zhirinovsky Bloc".
Georgi Satarov referred to factors capable
of influencing the results of the Duma elections as "coefficient
of falsifications" that are as yet unknown. "If
we suppose that falsifications will occur, we can suppose
that this coefficient will be quite high", noted
However, according to Satarov's forecast
the new "Duma will be less hysterical, less politicised
and a little more useful".
Elena Bashkirova, Director General of
ROMIR, said at a press conference that only 5% of the
respondents in the poll expressed a readiness to sell
their votes for a specific candidate. This data was obtained
in a representative sociological poll of 1,500 citizens
over 18 years of age in 94 settlements of 40 federation
subjects conducted by ROMIR.
Asked how they would act if they were
offered money to vote for a specific candidate, 69% said
that they would refuse the offer, 17% said that they would
take the money but still voted for the candidate of their
choice, while 9% failed to provide any answer.
Based on Interfax reports.